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Trading On The Edge - CD-ROM Toolkit (Wayzata Technology)(2031)(1994).bin
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t016
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1993-01-23
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78 lines
.LsnName Stock Analysis Results
.LsnDesc These two screens illustrate the type of results that are
available from applying the generated rules to new data.
.LsnScts Equity Predictions, Quarterly Results
.LsnPrms Estimation data glosgsdt
.Equity
The following are the predicted excess returns for a few rows
obtained by applying the derived rule set to new data.
The rules were designed for the period 81Q1 through 90Q1.
~c~m 40 40 1 1
TCKR QTR Pred Qual
GNT 91Q3 1.1 0.116
GNT 91Q2 0.2 0.145
GNT 91Q1 0.2 0.130
BWIP 91Q3 -0.9 0.121
BWIP 91Q2 4.8 0.053
VEN 91Q3 -2.1 0.165
VEN 91Q2 -0.6 0.197
VEN 91Q1 -1.7 0.108
HSN 91Q3 5.8 0.153
HSN 91Q2 5.8 0.153
HSN 91Q1 7.7 0.143
UTH 91Q3 2.2 0.105
UTH 91Q2 3.0 0.168
UTH 91Q1 7.0 0.143
IC 91Q3 -1.9 0.151
IC 91Q2 -2.4 0.135
IC 91Q1 -2.1 0.156
MDA 91Q3 3.8 0.170
MDA 91Q2 -1.0 0.144
MDA 91Q1 -1.2 0.114
SWY 91Q3 3.5 0.158
SWY 91Q2 3.8 0.180
SWY 91Q1 4.3 0.141
PA 91Q3 -0.3 0.164
PA 91Q2 -2.1 0.166
PA 91Q1 -4.6 0.139
ELE 91Q2 0.2 0.095
ELE 91Q1 0.2 0.095
FMC 91Q3 3.2 0.160
FMC 91Q2 3.5 0.184
FMC 91Q1 3.2 0.160
LIT 91Q3 -0.7 0.193
LIT 91Q2 1.0 0.251
LIT 91Q1 -0.7 0.209
RAL 91Q3 3.4 0.180
RAL 91Q2 3.0 0.159
RAL 91Q1 3.0 0.169
BLY 91Q3 -4.9 0.168
BLY 91Q2 -4.9 0.184
BLY 91Q1 -1.5 0.137
INT 91Q3 6.7 0.145
INT 91Q2 5.8 0.155
INT 91Q1 7.0 0.144
.Quarterly
Average absolute and excess quarterly percentage returns for the
thirty equities having the best predicted excess returns.
The rules used were designed over the period 81Q1 through 90Q1.
~c~m 80 80 1 1
QTR Absolute Excess QTR Absolute Excess
Return Return Return Return
88Q1 17.9 10.4 90Q1 25.1 18.8
88Q2 5.7 5.1 90Q2 -2.7 11.9
88Q3 9.2 7.5 90Q3 23.8 16.9
88Q4 22.0 13.1 90Q4 39.5 15.8
89Q1 20.0 9.7 91Q1 6.8 4.1
89Q2 27.5 16.7 91Q2 19.2 12.2
89Q3 9.7 10.3 91Q3 22.4 16.2
89Q4 6.5 8.4
Average 16.8% 11.8%